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Sunday 30 April 2017, 19:30 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
58% 25% 17%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
16.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 58.1% 1.72
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Leganes 16.6% 6.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.88
Over 1.5 71.2% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.26
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.62
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.9% 2.23
No 55.1% 1.81

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 83.4% 1.20
Eibar / Leganes 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Leganes 41.9% 2.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
6.0
2.6
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
13.6
11.9
4.4
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.0
9.4
3.7
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
6.7
5.3
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
2.8
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.