Thursday 27 April 2017, 20:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
35%
30%
34%
Home win
35.4%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
34.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Eibar | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.78 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 12.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Alaves / Eibar | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
11.0
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
14.1
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
7.6
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.9
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Eibar
3-0
Alaves
Dec 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Feb 2020
Alaves
2-1
Eibar
Nov 2019
Eibar
0-2
Alaves
Mar 2019
Alaves
1-1
Eibar
Nov 2018
Eibar
2-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.