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Sunday 9 April 2017, 17:15 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
41% 24% 35%
Home win
41.2%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
34.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 41.2% 2.43
Draw 24.0% 4.17
Eibar 34.8% 2.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.9% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.1% 24.30
Over 1.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.7% 6.79
Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.0% 2.85
Over 3.5 43.0% 2.33
Under 3.5 57.0% 1.75
Over 4.5 24.6% 4.07
Under 4.5 75.4% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 66.5% 1.50
No 33.5% 2.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 65.2% 1.53
Celta Vigo / Eibar 76.0% 1.32
Draw / Eibar 58.8% 1.70

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.1
5.0
4.5
2.4
1.0
0.3
1
5.6
10.4
7.9
4.2
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.6
6.9
3.7
1.5
0.5
3
3.1
5.0
4.0
2.1
0.9
0.3
4
1.4
2.2
1.8
0.9
0.4
0.1
5
0.5
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.