Thursday 6 April 2017, 22:30
Mestalla
Full time
44%
24%
32%
Home win
44.0%
Draw
23.5%
Away win
32.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 32.5% | 3.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.9% | 25.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.0% | 7.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Valencia / Celta Vigo | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.9
|
4.6
|
4.1
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.5
|
10.1
|
7.5
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
8.8
|
6.9
|
3.6
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
5.4
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
2.5
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Valencia
2-3
Celta Vigo
Jan 2026
Celta Vigo
4-1
Valencia
Feb 2025
Valencia
2-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
May 2024
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Nov 2023
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.