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Monday 3 April 2017, 21:45 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
46% 24% 30%
Home win
45.8%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
30.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 45.8% 2.18
Draw 23.8% 4.21
Las Palmas 30.4% 3.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.61
Over 1.5 84.9% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.1% 6.61
Over 2.5 64.3% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.7% 2.80
Over 3.5 42.2% 2.37
Under 3.5 57.8% 1.73
Over 4.5 24.0% 4.17
Under 4.5 76.0% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.4% 1.53
No 34.6% 2.89

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 69.6% 1.44
Celta Vigo / Las Palmas 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Las Palmas 54.2% 1.85

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
4.8
3.9
1.9
0.7
0.2
1
6.1
10.5
7.3
3.6
1.3
0.4
2
6.2
9.1
6.7
3.3
1.2
0.4
3
3.8
5.6
4.1
2.0
0.7
0.2
4
1.7
2.6
1.9
0.9
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.