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Monday 5 March 2018, 22:00 Municipal de Balaídos Full time
66% 19% 15%
Home win
65.7%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
15.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo 65.7% 1.52
Draw 19.2% 5.22
Las Palmas 15.1% 6.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.3% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.7% 27.27
Over 1.5 86.3% 1.16
Under 1.5 13.7% 7.32
Over 2.5 66.9% 1.49
Under 2.5 33.1% 3.03
Over 3.5 45.2% 2.21
Under 3.5 54.8% 1.83
Over 4.5 26.5% 3.78
Under 4.5 73.5% 1.36

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.2% 1.66
No 39.8% 2.51

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Celta Vigo / Draw 84.9% 1.18
Celta Vigo / Las Palmas 80.8% 1.24
Draw / Las Palmas 34.3% 2.92

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.7
2.9
1.8
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
7.1
8.6
4.4
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
9.0
9.6
5.2
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
7.1
7.6
4.1
1.5
0.4
0.1
4
4.2
4.5
2.4
0.9
0.2
0.1
5
2.0
2.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Celta Vigo goals. Columns: Las Palmas goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.