Saturday 3 February 2018, 19:30
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
38%
28%
34%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
34.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.8% | 11.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.6% | 4.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.1% | 8.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.9% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Alaves / Celta Vigo | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Celta Vigo | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.8
|
9.1
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.7
|
13.5
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
8.3
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Celta Vigo
3-4
Alaves
Nov 2025
Alaves
0-1
Celta Vigo
Jan 2025
Alaves
1-1
Celta Vigo
Aug 2024
Celta Vigo
2-1
Alaves
Apr 2024
Alaves
3-0
Celta Vigo
Sep 2023
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.