Sunday 21 January 2018, 13:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Full time
39%
35%
26%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
35.0%
Away win
26.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Leganes | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 18.6% | 5.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.7% | 10.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.1% | 32.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves / Draw | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Alaves / Leganes | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
18.6
|
12.5
|
5.0
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.6
|
13.8
|
4.9
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Leganes
3-3
Alaves
Nov 2024
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Feb 2020
Leganes
1-1
Alaves
Dec 2019
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Apr 2019
Alaves
1-1
Leganes
Nov 2018
Leganes
1-0
Alaves
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.