Sunday 3 December 2017, 13:00
Municipal de Butarque
Full time
24%
32%
44%
Home win
23.9%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
43.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 23.9% | 4.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.4% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.5% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.8% | 7.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes / Draw | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Leganes / Villarreal | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.5
|
16.1
|
9.7
|
3.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.5
|
13.8
|
7.5
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.4
|
5.0
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Villarreal
3-0
Leganes
Dec 2024
Leganes
2-5
Villarreal
Mar 2020
Villarreal
1-2
Leganes
Sep 2019
Leganes
0-3
Villarreal
Apr 2019
Villarreal
2-1
Leganes
Sep 2018
Leganes
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.