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Sunday 26 November 2017, 19:30 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
2–3
HT 1–0
47% 29% 24%
Home win
47.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
24.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 47.0% 2.13
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Sevilla 24.4% 4.10

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.67
Over 1.5 68.7% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.3% 3.19
Over 2.5 41.6% 2.40
Under 2.5 58.4% 1.71
Over 3.5 21.0% 4.77
Under 3.5 79.0% 1.27
Over 4.5 8.9% 11.22
Under 4.5 91.1% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 46.7% 2.14
No 53.3% 1.88

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 75.6% 1.32
Villarreal / Sevilla 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Sevilla 53.0% 1.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
8.2
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
12.7
13.4
5.9
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
9.5
8.9
4.2
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
4.4
4.2
2.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Sevilla goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.