Sunday 19 November 2017, 21:45
San Mamés
Full time
33%
31%
36%
Home win
32.6%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
36.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.8% | 7.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.5% | 6.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.4% | 15.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Villarreal | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.8
|
12.3
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
14.3
|
7.4
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.3
|
6.9
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.4
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Athletic Club
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Athletic Club
Apr 2025
Villarreal
0-0
Athletic Club
Dec 2024
Athletic Club
2-0
Villarreal
Apr 2024
Athletic Club
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
2-3
Athletic Club
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.