Sunday 22 October 2017, 13:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
67%
20%
13%
Home win
67.3%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
12.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Las Palmas | 12.6% | 7.92 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.83 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Las Palmas | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Draw / Las Palmas | 32.7% | 3.05 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
3.7
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.4
|
9.6
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
9.7
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.5
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.0
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Las Palmas
1-2
Villarreal
Sep 2024
Villarreal
3-1
Las Palmas
Jan 2024
Las Palmas
3-0
Villarreal
Oct 2023
Villarreal
1-2
Las Palmas
Mar 2018
Las Palmas
0-2
Villarreal
Mar 2017
Las Palmas
1-0
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.