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Sunday 24 September 2017, 17:15 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
4–0
HT 0–0
30% 34% 35%
Home win
30.5%
Draw
34.2%
Away win
35.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 30.5% 3.28
Draw 34.2% 2.93
Villarreal 35.3% 2.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.1% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.9% 5.90
Over 1.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 1.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 2.5 27.6% 3.62
Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.3% 8.88
Under 3.5 88.7% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.18
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.5% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 64.7% 1.55
Getafe / Villarreal 65.8% 1.52
Draw / Villarreal 69.5% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.9
14.6
7.4
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
13.2
14.2
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
6.1
5.8
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.8
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Villarreal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.