Friday 25 August 2017, 21:15
Anoeta
Full time
34%
29%
37%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
37.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.9% | 10.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.2% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Villarreal | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.9
|
10.5
|
7.0
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
13.8
|
8.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
7.6
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Villarreal
3-1
Real Sociedad
Nov 2025
Real Sociedad
2-3
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
2-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2025
Real Sociedad
1-0
Villarreal
Feb 2024
Real Sociedad
1-3
Villarreal
Dec 2023
Villarreal
0-3
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.