Friday 28 April 2017, 21:45
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
71.8%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
9.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.2% | 5.22 | — | — |
| Sporting Gijon | 9.1% | 11.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.6% | 4.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| No | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Sporting Gijon | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Sporting Gijon | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
3.5
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.1
|
9.0
|
2.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.5
|
9.0
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.3
|
6.4
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.