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Tuesday 4 April 2017, 22:30 Benito Villamarín Full time
23% 31% 46%
Home win
23.1%
Draw
31.4%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis 23.1% 4.33
Draw 31.4% 3.19
Villarreal 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.3% 7.00
Over 1.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.8% 2.51
Over 2.5 32.4% 3.09
Under 2.5 67.6% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.3% 6.99
Under 3.5 85.7% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.95
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.0% 2.56
No 61.0% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Real Betis / Draw 54.5% 1.84
Real Betis / Villarreal 68.6% 1.46
Draw / Villarreal 76.9% 1.30

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.3
15.7
10.0
4.1
1.2
0.3
1
9.8
13.7
7.9
3.2
1.0
0.2
2
4.2
5.1
3.1
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Real Betis goals. Columns: Villarreal goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.