Wednesday 1 March 2017, 20:30
Estadio El Sadar
Full time
16%
26%
59%
Home win
15.9%
Draw
25.6%
Away win
58.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.8% | 10.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.5% | 10.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.5% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna / Draw | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Osasuna / Villarreal | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.8
|
14.4
|
12.5
|
6.9
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.1
|
11.9
|
9.2
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
4.1
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Osasuna
2-2
Villarreal
Sep 2025
Villarreal
2-1
Osasuna
May 2025
Villarreal
4-2
Osasuna
Nov 2024
Osasuna
2-2
Villarreal
May 2024
Osasuna
1-1
Villarreal
Nov 2023
Villarreal
3-1
Osasuna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.