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Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:45 Estadio El Sadar Full time
8% 13% 79%
Home win
8.0%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
78.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 8.0% 12.49
Draw 13.1% 7.62
Real Madrid 78.9% 1.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.8% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.2% 45.19
Over 1.5 90.9% 1.10
Under 1.5 9.1% 11.02
Over 2.5 75.7% 1.32
Under 2.5 24.3% 4.12
Over 3.5 56.0% 1.79
Under 3.5 44.0% 2.27
Over 4.5 36.5% 2.74
Under 4.5 63.5% 1.57

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.1% 1.72
No 41.9% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 21.1% 4.73
Osasuna / Real Madrid 86.9% 1.15
Draw / Real Madrid 92.0% 1.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.2
5.4
8.7
8.8
6.7
4.1
1
1.4
5.7
8.1
8.2
6.2
3.8
2
0.8
2.5
3.8
3.8
2.9
1.8
3
0.3
0.8
1.2
1.2
0.9
0.5
4
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Real Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.