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Monday 9 January 2017, 21:45 Estadio El Sadar Full time
3–3
HT 1–2
31% 25% 44%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
25.0%
Away win
44.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna 31.0% 3.23
Draw 25.0% 4.00
Valencia 44.1% 2.27

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.98
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.50
Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 3.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 3.5 63.1% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.7% 5.07
Under 4.5 80.3% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.8% 1.62
No 38.2% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Osasuna / Draw 55.9% 1.79
Osasuna / Valencia 75.0% 1.33
Draw / Valencia 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
7.2
6.6
3.7
1.6
0.5
1
5.8
11.5
9.1
5.1
2.2
0.7
2
4.4
7.5
6.3
3.6
1.5
0.5
3
2.1
3.5
2.9
1.6
0.7
0.2
4
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Osasuna goals. Columns: Valencia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.