Sunday 4 December 2016, 21:45
Mestalla
Full time
32%
24%
45%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
44.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
| Malaga | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.4% | 6.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | 2.90 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.1% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| No | 33.4% | 2.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Valencia / Malaga | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
5.7
|
5.8
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
10.2
|
8.9
|
5.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
4.0
|
7.4
|
6.8
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.8
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.