Saturday 22 October 2016, 17:15
Mestalla
Full time
15%
13%
71%
Home win
15.4%
Draw
13.3%
Away win
71.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 15.4% | 6.48 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.3% | 7.50 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.5% | 196.08 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 97.8% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 2.2% | 44.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 8.1% | 12.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 18.7% | 5.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| No | 16.9% | 5.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia / Draw | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Valencia / Barcelona | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.5
|
1.2
|
2.5
|
3.1
|
2.9
|
2.2
|
| 1 |
0.5
|
2.7
|
4.7
|
5.9
|
5.5
|
4.1
|
| 2 |
0.6
|
2.4
|
4.5
|
5.6
|
5.2
|
3.9
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
1.5
|
2.8
|
3.5
|
3.3
|
2.5
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.7
|
1.3
|
1.7
|
1.6
|
1.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Valencia
3-1
Barcelona
Sep 2025
Barcelona
6-0
Valencia
Jan 2025
Barcelona
7-1
Valencia
Aug 2024
Valencia
1-2
Barcelona
Apr 2024
Barcelona
4-2
Valencia
Dec 2023
Valencia
1-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.