Saturday 15 October 2016, 17:15
Camp Nou
Full time
77%
13%
10%
Home win
76.6%
Draw
13.3%
Away win
10.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.3% | 7.54 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 10.1% | 9.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.5% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.5% | 68.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.1% | 16.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 18.0% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| No | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona / Draw | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Barcelona / Deportivo La Coruna | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
4.9
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
7.4
|
4.5
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
8.0
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
6.5
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
3.5
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Deportivo La Coruna
2-4
Barcelona
Dec 2017
Barcelona
4-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Mar 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
2-1
Barcelona
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.