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Saturday 1 October 2016, 21:45 Estadio de Riazor Full time
43% 29% 28%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
28.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 43.0% 2.33
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Sporting Gijon 28.4% 3.52

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.45
Over 1.5 70.6% 1.42
Under 1.5 29.4% 3.40
Over 2.5 43.8% 2.28
Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78
Over 3.5 22.8% 4.39
Under 3.5 77.2% 1.29
Over 4.5 10.0% 10.03
Under 4.5 90.0% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.6% 2.02
No 50.4% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 71.6% 1.40
Deportivo La Coruna / Sporting Gijon 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Sporting Gijon 57.0% 1.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
8.6
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
1
11.3
13.6
6.8
2.4
0.6
0.1
2
8.2
8.7
4.7
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
3.7
4.0
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.3
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.