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Sunday 5 March 2017, 13:00 El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini Full time
38% 25% 36%
Home win
38.5%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
36.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon 38.5% 2.60
Draw 25.4% 3.94
Deportivo La Coruna 36.1% 2.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.6% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.4% 18.54
Over 1.5 81.5% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.5% 5.40
Over 2.5 58.8% 1.70
Under 2.5 41.2% 2.43
Over 3.5 36.4% 2.75
Under 3.5 63.6% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.3% 5.17
Under 4.5 80.7% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.9% 1.62
No 38.1% 2.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sporting Gijon / Draw 63.9% 1.57
Sporting Gijon / Deportivo La Coruna 74.6% 1.34
Draw / Deportivo La Coruna 61.5% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.4
6.4
5.3
2.7
1.0
0.3
1
6.7
11.7
8.2
4.1
1.5
0.5
2
5.7
8.5
6.4
3.2
1.2
0.4
3
3.0
4.4
3.3
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.1
1.7
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sporting Gijon goals. Columns: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.