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Thursday 2 March 2017, 21:45 Estadio de Riazor Full time
19% 25% 56%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
56.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 19.2% 5.22
Draw 24.7% 4.05
Atletico Madrid 56.1% 1.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.52
Over 1.5 75.8% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.2% 4.13
Over 2.5 50.6% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.4% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.6% 3.50
Under 3.5 71.4% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.7% 7.31
Under 4.5 86.3% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.0% 1.96
No 49.0% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 43.9% 2.28
Deportivo La Coruna / Atletico Madrid 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Atletico Madrid 80.8% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
11.2
10.4
6.1
2.7
1.0
1
5.6
11.8
9.8
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
3.0
5.2
4.6
2.7
1.2
0.4
3
0.9
1.6
1.4
0.8
0.4
0.1
4
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.