Sunday 1 April 2018, 21:45
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
83%
13%
4%
Home win
83.3%
Draw
12.9%
Away win
3.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 3.8% | 26.41 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| No | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Deportivo La Coruna | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 16.7% | 6.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
5.7
|
1.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.0
|
6.9
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
14.4
|
5.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.1
|
3.7
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Nov 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2016
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Deportivo La Coruna
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.