Sunday 25 September 2016, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
75%
17%
8%
Home win
75.0%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
8.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 8.0% | 12.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.3% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Deportivo La Coruna | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Deportivo La Coruna | 25.0% | 3.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
8.1
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.0
|
8.9
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.9
|
6.9
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.3
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2018
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Deportivo La Coruna
Nov 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2017
Deportivo La Coruna
1-1
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.