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Saturday 4 November 2017, 17:15 Estadio de Riazor Full time
14% 25% 61%
Home win
14.4%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
60.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna 14.4% 6.96
Draw 24.7% 4.04
Atletico Madrid 60.9% 1.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.4% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.6% 10.40
Over 1.5 70.0% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.0% 3.34
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.4% 4.47
Under 3.5 77.6% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.28
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Deportivo La Coruna / Draw 39.1% 2.56
Deportivo La Coruna / Atletico Madrid 75.3% 1.33
Draw / Atletico Madrid 85.6% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.6
14.7
13.1
7.5
3.2
1.1
1
5.7
11.4
9.2
5.2
2.2
0.8
2
2.2
3.8
3.2
1.8
0.8
0.3
3
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.