Saturday 23 September 2017, 14:00
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
57%
26%
18%
Home win
56.9%
Draw
25.5%
Away win
17.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.5% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Sevilla | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.0% | 11.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.7% | 9.33 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Sevilla | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Sevilla | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.0
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.2
|
12.0
|
4.6
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.5
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.4
|
5.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2025
Atletico Madrid
3-0
Sevilla
Apr 2025
Sevilla
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2024
Atletico Madrid
4-3
Sevilla
Feb 2024
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Dec 2023
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Sevilla
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.