Wednesday 20 September 2017, 21:00
San Mamés
Full time
25%
32%
42%
Home win
25.4%
Draw
32.1%
Away win
42.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.7% | 6.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 19.84 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| No | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club / Draw | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Athletic Club / Atletico Madrid | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.7
|
15.2
|
9.2
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
14.0
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
5.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Athletic Club
Dec 2023
Athletic Club
2-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.