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Sunday 27 August 2017, 19:15 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
41% 29% 30%
Home win
40.9%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
30.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 40.9% 2.44
Draw 29.0% 3.44
Athletic Club 30.0% 3.33

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.9% 10.10
Over 1.5 69.8% 1.43
Under 1.5 30.2% 3.31
Over 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Under 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Over 3.5 22.0% 4.54
Under 3.5 78.0% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.51
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.1% 2.04
No 50.9% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 70.0% 1.43
Eibar / Athletic Club 71.0% 1.41
Draw / Athletic Club 59.1% 1.69

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.9
9.1
5.4
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
11.2
13.7
7.0
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
7.8
8.5
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
3.4
3.7
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.1
1.2
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Athletic Club goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.