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Sunday 14 May 2017, 21:00 Ipurua Municipal Stadium Full time
65% 21% 14%
Home win
65.3%
Draw
20.6%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar 65.3% 1.53
Draw 20.6% 4.86
Sporting Gijon 14.1% 7.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.77
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.33
Over 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Over 3.5 36.2% 2.76
Under 3.5 63.8% 1.57
Over 4.5 19.2% 5.21
Under 4.5 80.8% 1.24

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eibar / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Eibar / Sporting Gijon 79.4% 1.26
Draw / Sporting Gijon 34.7% 2.88

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
3.7
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
9.7
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
2
11.0
9.9
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
7.8
7.0
3.2
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
4.2
3.8
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eibar goals. Columns: Sporting Gijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.