Saturday 6 May 2017, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
63%
23%
14%
Home win
62.9%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
13.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Eibar | 13.7% | 7.32 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.5% | 11.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Eibar | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.5
|
5.1
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.7
|
11.0
|
3.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
9.4
|
3.4
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.9
|
5.7
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Eibar
Jan 2021
Eibar
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2020
Eibar
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2019
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Eibar
Apr 2019
Eibar
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2018
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.