Saturday 15 September 2018, 14:00
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
63%
25%
12%
Home win
63.1%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
11.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.2% | 3.98 | — | — |
| Eibar | 11.8% | 8.49 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.8% | 8.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.0% | 5.57 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.90 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 88.2% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Eibar | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.8
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.6
|
10.8
|
2.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.9
|
8.3
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
4.5
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
5-0
Eibar
Jan 2021
Eibar
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2020
Eibar
2-0
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2019
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Eibar
Apr 2019
Eibar
0-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2018
Atletico Madrid
2-2
Eibar
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.