Saturday 1 September 2018, 19:30
Municipal de Balaídos
Full time
20%
27%
53%
Home win
19.9%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
53.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo | 19.9% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.7% | 10.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.9% | 3.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.7% | 10.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo / Draw | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Celta Vigo / Atletico Madrid | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.7
|
13.3
|
10.9
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.6
|
9.3
|
4.8
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
5.1
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.4
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Celta Vigo
Oct 2025
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico Madrid
Feb 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Sep 2024
Celta Vigo
0-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Celta Vigo
Oct 2023
Celta Vigo
0-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.