Skip to content
Saturday 12 May 2018, 19:30 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
24% 37% 38%
Home win
24.4%
Draw
37.1%
Away win
38.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 24.4% 4.09
Draw 37.1% 2.69
Atletico Madrid 38.4% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 78.0% 1.28
Under 0.5 22.0% 4.54
Over 1.5 46.5% 2.15
Under 1.5 53.5% 1.87
Over 2.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 2.5 79.7% 1.25
Over 3.5 7.2% 13.96
Under 3.5 92.8% 1.08
Over 4.5 2.1% 47.94
Under 4.5 97.9% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 29.1% 3.44
No 70.9% 1.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 61.6% 1.62
Getafe / Atletico Madrid 62.9% 1.59
Draw / Atletico Madrid 75.6% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
22.0
18.3
8.5
2.5
0.6
0.1
1
13.1
13.2
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
4.5
4.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.