Thursday 19 April 2018, 20:30
Anoeta
Full time
20%
27%
53%
Home win
20.0%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
53.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.49 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.7% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 10.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad / Draw | 46.8% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Real Sociedad / Atletico Madrid | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
13.1
|
10.8
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
12.6
|
9.3
|
4.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
5.1
|
4.0
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.5
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Real Sociedad
Jan 2026
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2025
Atletico Madrid
4-0
Real Sociedad
Oct 2024
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico Madrid
May 2024
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2023
Atletico Madrid
2-1
Real Sociedad
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.