Sunday 18 March 2018, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
23%
33%
44%
Home win
22.7%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
44.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.3% | 3.00 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.0% | 5.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.9% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.2% | 8.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 26.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.9% | 2.87 | — | — |
| No | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Atletico Madrid | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.0
|
17.2
|
9.9
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.8
|
13.5
|
7.1
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.1
|
4.5
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
5-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Villarreal
Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.