Sunday 18 February 2018, 17:15
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
61%
28%
12%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
27.8%
Away win
11.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
| Athletic Club | 11.5% | 8.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.66 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| No | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Athletic Club | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Athletic Club | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.2
|
6.4
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
20.5
|
10.7
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
7.3
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.4
|
3.5
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
3-2
Athletic Club
Dec 2025
Athletic Club
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Athletic Club
Aug 2024
Athletic Club
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Athletic Club
Dec 2023
Athletic Club
2-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.