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Friday 26 January 2018, 22:00 San Mamés Full time
49% 27% 24%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
23.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club 48.8% 2.05
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Eibar 23.9% 4.19

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.1% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.9% 11.24
Over 1.5 72.1% 1.39
Under 1.5 27.9% 3.59
Over 2.5 45.8% 2.18
Under 2.5 54.2% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.4% 4.10
Under 3.5 75.6% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.12
Under 4.5 89.0% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.7% 2.01
No 50.3% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Athletic Club / Draw 76.1% 1.31
Athletic Club / Eibar 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Eibar 51.2% 1.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.9
7.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
1
11.7
13.0
6.0
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
9.4
9.3
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.8
4.7
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.8
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Athletic Club goals. Columns: Eibar goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.