Monday 22 January 2018, 22:00
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
54%
26%
21%
Home win
53.6%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
20.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.89 | — | — |
| Malaga | 20.7% | 4.84 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.46 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Eibar / Malaga | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
6.2
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
12.3
|
5.5
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
9.6
|
4.6
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
5.4
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.