Saturday 25 February 2017, 21:45
Ipurua Municipal Stadium
Full time
54%
24%
23%
Home win
53.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Malaga | 22.6% | 4.43 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.9% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| No | 41.4% | 2.41 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eibar / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Eibar / Malaga | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Malaga | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
4.9
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.4
|
11.1
|
6.0
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.8
|
5.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.3
|
6.1
|
3.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.9
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.