Monday 21 August 2017, 23:00
La Rosaleda
Full time
39%
28%
33%
Home win
39.5%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
32.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| Eibar | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.7% | 7.89 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga / Draw | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Malaga / Eibar | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Eibar | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
8.2
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
9.2
|
13.2
|
7.7
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.6
|
5.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
4.0
|
2.5
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.