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Tuesday 25 April 2017, 21:30 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
0–2
HT 0–0
28% 28% 44%
Home win
27.8%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
43.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 27.8% 3.60
Draw 28.4% 3.53
Malaga 43.9% 2.28

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.6% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.4% 10.67
Over 1.5 71.0% 1.41
Under 1.5 29.0% 3.45
Over 2.5 44.4% 2.25
Under 2.5 55.6% 1.80
Over 3.5 23.2% 4.30
Under 3.5 76.8% 1.30
Over 4.5 10.3% 9.75
Under 4.5 89.7% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.01
No 50.1% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 56.1% 1.78
Granada CF / Malaga 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Malaga 72.2% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.4
11.2
8.4
3.9
1.4
0.4
1
8.3
13.5
8.9
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
4.8
6.7
4.7
2.2
0.8
0.2
3
1.7
2.4
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Malaga goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.