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Friday 21 April 2017, 22:00 Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
79% 14% 7%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
13.6%
Away win
6.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla 79.5% 1.26
Draw 13.6% 7.35
Granada CF 6.9% 14.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.8% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.2% 31.01
Over 1.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.7% 7.89
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.21
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.11
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.90
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.9% 2.00
No 50.1% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sevilla / Draw 93.1% 1.07
Sevilla / Granada CF 86.4% 1.16
Draw / Granada CF 20.5% 4.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.2
1.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
7.7
6.4
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
11.3
8.4
3.2
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
10.5
7.9
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
7.4
5.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
4.1
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Sevilla goals. Columns: Granada CF goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.