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Sunday 2 April 2017, 21:45 Nuevo Los Cármenes Full time
6% 11% 83%
Home win
5.7%
Draw
11.0%
Away win
83.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF 5.7% 17.53
Draw 11.0% 9.09
Barcelona 83.3% 1.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.0% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.0% 49.21
Over 1.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 1.5 8.6% 11.66
Over 2.5 76.8% 1.30
Under 2.5 23.2% 4.31
Over 3.5 57.5% 1.74
Under 3.5 42.5% 2.35
Over 4.5 37.9% 2.64
Under 4.5 62.1% 1.61

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Granada CF / Draw 16.7% 5.99
Granada CF / Barcelona 89.0% 1.12
Draw / Barcelona 94.3% 1.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.0
5.4
9.2
9.9
8.0
5.1
1
1.2
4.9
7.4
8.0
6.5
4.2
2
0.6
1.9
3.0
3.3
2.6
1.7
3
0.2
0.5
0.8
0.9
0.7
0.5
4
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Granada CF goals. Columns: Barcelona goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.