Sunday 26 February 2017, 17:15
Vicente Calderón
Full time
33%
26%
41%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
40.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Barcelona | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.0% | 4.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | 2.16 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.3% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.6% | 6.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Barcelona | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Barcelona | 67.3% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
8.2
|
6.7
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.5
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
7.8
|
5.8
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Atletico Madrid
1-2
Barcelona
Dec 2025
Barcelona
3-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-4
Barcelona
Dec 2024
Barcelona
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2024
Atletico Madrid
0-3
Barcelona
Dec 2023
Barcelona
1-0
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.