Saturday 4 February 2017, 19:30
Vicente Calderón
Full time
74%
19%
7%
Home win
73.9%
Draw
18.9%
Away win
7.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.9% | 5.29 | — | — |
| Leganes | 7.2% | 13.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.3% | 12.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.4% | 2.91 | — | — |
| No | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Leganes | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Leganes | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.3
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.6
|
8.4
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.5
|
8.1
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.3
|
5.6
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Leganes
1-0
Atletico Madrid
Oct 2024
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Leganes
Jan 2020
Atletico Madrid
0-0
Leganes
Aug 2019
Leganes
0-1
Atletico Madrid
Mar 2019
Atletico Madrid
1-0
Leganes
Nov 2018
Leganes
1-1
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.