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Saturday 28 January 2017, 21:45 Municipal de Butarque Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
31% 27% 42%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
42.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes 30.7% 3.26
Draw 27.2% 3.67
Celta Vigo 42.1% 2.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.3% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.7% 13.06
Over 1.5 75.3% 1.33
Under 1.5 24.7% 4.05
Over 2.5 49.9% 2.00
Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00
Over 3.5 27.9% 3.58
Under 3.5 72.1% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.3% 7.53
Under 4.5 86.7% 1.15

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.6% 1.83
No 45.4% 2.20

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Leganes / Draw 57.9% 1.73
Leganes / Celta Vigo 72.8% 1.37
Draw / Celta Vigo 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.7
9.4
7.4
3.6
1.3
0.4
1
7.7
13.0
8.9
4.3
1.6
0.5
2
5.1
7.4
5.4
2.6
1.0
0.3
3
2.1
3.0
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Leganes goals. Columns: Celta Vigo goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.