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Saturday 10 December 2016, 19:30 Gran Canaria Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
65% 21% 14%
Home win
65.2%
Draw
20.8%
Away win
14.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas 65.2% 1.53
Draw 20.8% 4.81
Leganes 14.0% 7.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.89
Over 1.5 80.5% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.5% 5.13
Over 2.5 57.4% 1.74
Under 2.5 42.6% 2.35
Over 3.5 35.0% 2.85
Under 3.5 65.0% 1.54
Over 4.5 18.3% 5.47
Under 4.5 81.7% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.9% 1.93
No 48.1% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Las Palmas / Draw 86.0% 1.16
Las Palmas / Leganes 79.2% 1.26
Draw / Leganes 34.8% 2.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
3.9
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
10.1
9.9
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.2
9.8
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
3
7.9
6.9
3.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.2
3.7
1.6
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.8
1.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Las Palmas goals. Columns: Leganes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.